🟢 The AI bubble eats incumbent software giants

While we were waiting for an AI bubble burst, in two brutal sessions, the market ended up punishing the old digital economy for a different fear: that AI was about to replace parts of its business model sooner than expected.

🟢 The AI bubble eats incumbent software giants
Photo by Ussama Azam / Unsplash

Software companies' valuations went down by almost $1 trillion over seven days, and the shockwave spilling from equities into credit (over $17.7B of US tech-company loans sliding to distressed levels). Ouch.

Trillion-Dollar Tech Wipeout Ensnares All Stocks in AI’s Path
There have been many AI-driven selloffs in the three years since ChatGPT burst into the mainstream. Nothing, though, quite rivals the rout rippling through stock and credit markets this week.

Ouch.

What triggered this slide is simply Anthropic releasing an AI legal-work tool (contract review, etc.) that is anything but a game-changer on its own, but the market read it as a signal of generalizable substitution: today legal; tomorrow sales, marketing, finance. AI Companies themselves are not safe. They're still straining with higher-than-expected capital expenditures, some of them already guiding below expectations, so you know that another rout is on the horizon...

And this is the current paradox: