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Dealing with exponential blindness

Dealing with exponential blindness

Following up on last week's article on forecasters, I want to zoom in on the one tricky issue when you go about plotting where the future will be: exponentials. The problem(s) with exponentials Very often, exponentials are a cheap sleight-of-hands used by many forecasters like with AR/

Every forecaster lives at the expense of the listener

Every forecaster lives at the expense of the listener

While we are entering even more volatile times than two years ago – can you wrap your mind around this? I barely can at this point – it's worth remembering that our collective brain will seek reassuring perspectives. In the industry, the most reassuring ones are solid forecasts. How do

Should we stop talking about innovation?

Should we stop talking about innovation?

Back from a few days off. With a lot of work ahead of us this summer, we're managing vacations as a stop-and-go process. It's quite nice, to be honest, and also sparks reflections in a very different way than what you'd get after a

Stopping the auto-pilot leadership

Stopping the auto-pilot leadership

Last week I was having a deep meaningful conversation with my dear friend Margreeth van der Oord about the “business as usual” state of the world: despite the many crisis, everyone is focused on maintaining life as it is and not many question or act differently. This lead me to

What is a platform? Hardware edition

What is a platform? Hardware edition

Following up on yesterday's article about Apple WWDC announcements, an obvious – and yet amazing – new possibility is to use an iPhone as a webcam for a Mac. Think about this: How many other platforms do we know that can interoperate software and hardware as seamlessly as that? Apple